Weber State vs. Cal Poly prediction: Why Cal Poly is favored to win in college football Week 5 [2026]

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Weber State vs. Cal Poly, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives Cal Poly a 66.4% chance of beating Weber State. Our predicted final score has Cal Poly winning 35-29. According to our model, Weber State (+5.5) has a 50.5% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 66.5 points has a 53.8% chance of staying under.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Weber State +5.5 (-105) / Cal Poly -5.5 (-118)
• Moneyline: Weber State +186, Cal Poly -230
• Total: Over/Under 66.5 (-111/-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Weber State +5.5 @ -105 via Caesars
• Moneyline: Weber State @ +186 via DraftKings
• Total: Under 66.5 @ -110 via Caesars

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 66.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football game between Cal Poly and Weber State at Mustang Memorial Field is scheduled to commence at 8:00 PM ET.

• Who: Weber State vs. Cal Poly
• Date: Saturday, October 3, 2026
• Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
• Venue: Mustang Memorial Field

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Conclusion

We predict Cal Poly, with a 66.4% win probability, will likely beat Weber State in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.