Fresno State vs. Washington State prediction: Why Washington State is favored to win in college football Week 5 [2026]

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Fresno State vs. Washington State, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives Washington State a 55.7% chance of beating Fresno State. Our predicted final score has Washington State winning 24-21. According to our model, Washington State (-1.5) has a 53.6% chance of covering the spread, while the 44.5-point over/under has a 54.4% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Fresno State +1.5 (-114) / Washington State -1.5 (-106)
• Moneyline: Fresno State +112, Washington State -118
• Total: Over/Under 44.5 (-105/-106)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Washington State -1.5 @ -106 via FanDuel
• Moneyline: Washington State @ -118 via FanDuel
• Total: Over 44.5 @ -105 via DraftKings

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 44.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football action between Washington State and Fresno State at Gesa Field at Martin Stadium is scheduled to begin at 9:30 PM ET.

• Who: Fresno State vs. Washington State
• Date: Saturday, October 3, 2026
• Time: 9:30 PM ET/6:30PM PT
• Venue: Gesa Field at Martin Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict Washington State, with a 55.7% win probability, will likely beat Fresno State in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.