Youngstown State vs. Kentucky prediction: Kentucky favored to win in college football Week 1 [2026]
Dimers' simulation model projects a 90.4% win probability for Kentucky at Kroger Field.

Kentucky will face Youngstown State in Week 1 college football action at Kroger Field on Saturday, with kickoff at 1:00 PM ET.
Dimers' proven college football model projects Kentucky as the most likely winner in this Youngstown State vs. Kentucky prediction.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks, backed by the same system that has dominated college football and NFL betting markets across multiple seasons.
Youngstown State vs. Kentucky prediction and odds
Our leading predictive model currently gives Kentucky a 90.4% chance of defeating Youngstown State. Our predicted final score has Kentucky winning 40-18.
According to our model, Kentucky (-21.5) has a 51.8% chance of covering the spread, while the 62.5-point over/under has a 60.8% chance of staying under.
Latest betting odds
We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Spread: Youngstown State +21.5 (-110) / Kentucky -21.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Youngstown State +1400, Kentucky -1600
- Total: Over/Under 62.5 (-108/-109)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Spread: Kentucky -21.5 @ -110 via ESPN BET
- Moneyline: Youngstown State @ +1400 via BetRivers
- Total: Under 62.5 @ -109 via Caesars
According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 62.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & kickoff details
Saturday's college football game between Kentucky and Youngstown State at Kroger Field is scheduled to begin at 1:00 PM ET.
- Who: Youngstown State vs. Kentucky
- Date: Saturday, September 5, 2026
- Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00AM PT
- Venue: Kroger Field
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Conclusion
We predict Kentucky, with a 90.4% win probability, will likely beat Youngstown State in Saturday's college football matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.




