Brighton vs. Crystal Palace prediction, odds, Premier League picks [10/18/2026]

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Sunday's Premier League match between Brighton and Crystal Palace, forming part of our Premier League predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently suggests a 59.3% chance of Brighton winning, a 19.4% chance for Crystal Palace, and a 21.3% chance of a draw. Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 59.0% chance of going over., with a 56.4% probability that both teams find the net.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Crystal Palace +567, Brighton -194
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-170/+163)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Crystal Palace @ +567 via Polymarket
• Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +163 via Novig

According to our Premier League best bets, the top play to make on this game is Crystal Palace to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score and BTTS projections

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

• Brighton 1-1 Crystal Palace (9.9% probability)
• Brighton 2-1 Crystal Palace (9.9%)
• Brighton 1-0 Crystal Palace (9.4%)

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 56.4% chance of both Brighton and Crystal Palace finding the net and a 43.6% chance that at least one doesn’t.

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.

Game info & kickoff details

Sunday's Premier League action between Brighton and Crystal Palace at Amex Stadium is scheduled to begin in the USA at 9:00 AM ET.

• Who: Brighton vs. Crystal Palace
• Date: Sunday, October 18, 2026
• Time: 9:00 AM ET/6:00AM PT
• Venue: Amex Stadium

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Brighton has a 59.3% win probability on Sunday, Crystal Palace has a 19.4% win probability, and there is a 21.3% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Premier League prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.