Coventry vs. Newcastle Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Coventry vs. Newcastle Premier League match on October 12, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
FINAL
EPL sport icon
PREMIER LEAGUE
Newcastle
1
4
Coventry Building Society Arena
Coventry
Coventry Building Society Arena
CoventryCOVN
Score Summary
NewcastleNEW
J. Rudoni (pen.) (6')
Soccer ball icon
S. Cherif (48')
Soccer ball icon
E. Simms (81')
Soccer ball icon
S. Mfuni (86')
Soccer ball icon
S. Botman (70')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Coventry
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Newcastle
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Newcastle: D. Burn replaces B. Toure
  2. 86'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Coventry by S. Mfuni, assisted by J. Dasilva
    1-4
  3. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Coventry: V. Torp replaces J. Rudoni
  4. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Coventry: S. Mfuni replaces M. Grimes
  5. 81'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Coventry by E. Simms, assisted by B. Thomas-Asante
    1-3
  6. 81'
    Yellow Card
    Joelinton (Newcastle) cautioned
  7. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Coventry: F. Onyeka replaces C. Yirenkyi
  8. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Coventry: E. Simms replaces S. Cherif
  9. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Newcastle: W. Osula replaces Y. Wissa
  10. 70'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Newcastle by S. Botman, assisted by Nico
    1-2
  11. 66'
    Yellow Card
    M. van Ewijk (Coventry) cautioned
  12. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Coventry: T. Sakamoto replaces E. Mason-Clark
  13. 59'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Newcastle: A. Dedic replaces L. Miley
  14. 59'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Newcastle: B. Toure replaces J. Murphy
  15. 59'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Newcastle: Joelinton replaces J. Willock
  16. 48'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Coventry by S. Cherif
    0-2
  17. 6'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Coventry by J. Rudoni (pen.)
    0-1

Coventry vs. Newcastle: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Coventry vs. Newcastle
  • Date: Monday, October 12, 2026
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Coventry Building Society Arena

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Coventry 26¢, Newcastle 48¢, draw 27¢
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (60¢/40¢)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Coventry: 28.6%
  • Newcastle: 47.8%
  • Draw: 23.6%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Coventry 1-1 Newcastle (10.9%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Coventry vs. Newcastle? Prediction & correct score

Newcastle is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 47.8%.

The most likely correct score is Coventry 1-1 Newcastle.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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