Premier League betting tips: Sunday's picks include Arsenal vs. Nottingham Forest play [10/18/2026]

Arsenal ML (-153)

• Edge: 4.6%
• Probability: 65.1%
• Matchup: Arsenal vs. Nottingham Forest (11:30AM ET)

Our model has identified value on Arsenal to defeat Nottingham Forest at 60¢ odds. A 65.1% probability produces an edge of 4.6%, making this the strongest play for today's Premier League slate.

Crystal Palace ML (+590)

• Edge: 4.5%
• Probability: 19%
• Matchup: Crystal Palace vs. Brighton (9:00AM ET)

Crystal Palace ML carries a 4.5% edge and a probability of 19% at 14¢ odds, according to our model.

Arsenal vs. Nottingham Forest Over 2.5 goals (52¢)

• Edge: 3.7%
• Probability: 55.6%
• Matchup: Arsenal vs. Nottingham Forest (11:30AM ET)

Arsenal vs. Nottingham Forest Over 2.5 goals at 52¢ odds shows a 3.7% edge, supported by a 55.6% probability in simulations.

Crystal Palace vs. Brighton under 2.5 goals (+167)

• Edge: 3.3%
• Probability: 40.7%
• Matchup: Crystal Palace vs. Brighton (9:00AM ET)

A 3.3% edge and 40.7% probability make Crystal Palace vs. Brighton under 2.5 goals a value play in the Crystal Palace vs. Brighton matchup, per our model.

Manchester United vs. Leeds Over 2.5 goals (-113)

• Edge: 3.1%
• Probability: 56.1%
• Matchup: Manchester United vs. Leeds (9:00AM ET)

Manchester United vs. Leeds Over 2.5 goals at 53¢ presents a 3.1% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 56.1%.

Manchester United ML (+190)

• Edge: 3.1%
• Probability: 37.6%
• Matchup: Manchester United vs. Leeds (9:00AM ET)

Our model finds value on Manchester United to win at 34¢, supported by an edge of 3.1%.

Premier League best bets summary: Sunday, 10/18/2026

As of 7:01AM ET, here are our top Premier League bets by edge recommended by our model:

List of upcoming Premier League games to bet on [10/18/2026]

• Sunderland vs. Bournemouth (9:00AM ET, Sunday)
• Crystal Palace vs. Brighton (9:00AM ET, Sunday)
• Manchester United vs. Leeds (9:00AM ET, Sunday)
• Arsenal vs. Nottingham Forest (11:30AM ET, Sunday)

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Conclusion

Our Premier League best bets are locked and loaded for October 18, 2026, featuring plays such as Arsenal ML vs. Nottingham Forest and Crystal Palace ML. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are rooted in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.