Celta Vigo vs. Alaves prediction, odds, La Liga picks [10/18/2026]

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Sunday's La Liga match between Celta Vigo and Alaves, forming part of our La Liga predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model suggests a 45.6% chance of Celta Vigo winning, a 27.8% chance for Alaves, and a 26.6% chance of a draw. Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 55.1% chance of staying under., with a 50.7% chance of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Alaves +260, Celta Vigo +127
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (+133/-138)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Celta Vigo @ +127 via Polymarket
• Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ +133 via Polymarket

According to our La Liga best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 2.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score and BTTS projections

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

• Celta Vigo 1-1 Alaves (12.6% probability)
• Celta Vigo 1-0 Alaves (12%)
• Celta Vigo 2-1 Alaves (9%)

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 49.3% chance of both Celta Vigo and Alaves finding the net and a 50.7% chance that at least one doesn’t.

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.

Game info & kickoff details

Sunday's La Liga action between Celta Vigo and Alaves is scheduled to commence in the USA at 10:15 AM ET.

• Who: Celta Vigo vs. Alaves
• Date: Sunday, October 18, 2026
• Time: 10:15 AM ET/7:15AM PT

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Celta Vigo has a 45.6% win probability on Sunday, Alaves has a 27.8% win probability, and there is a 26.6% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary La Liga prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.