Celta Vigo vs. Alaves Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Celta Vigo vs. Alaves La Liga match on October 18, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
FINAL
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LA LIGA
Alaves
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2
Celta Vigo
Celta VigoRCC
Score Summary
AlavesALA
F. Jutgla (53')
Soccer ball icon
J. Rodriguez (71')
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H. Novoa Ramos (87')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Celta Vigo
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Alaves
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: A. Manas replaces A. Rebbach
  2. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: A. Guevara replaces A. Blanco
  3. 87'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Alaves by H. Novoa Ramos, assisted by M. Diaz
    1-2
  4. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Celta Vigo: M. Alonso replaces S. Caceres
  5. 71'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Celta Vigo by J. Rodriguez, assisted by I. Aspas
    0-2
  6. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Celta Vigo: I. Aspas replaces C. Driouech
  7. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Celta Vigo: A. Antanon replaces H. Burcio
  8. 62'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: H. Novoa Ramos replaces Jonny Otto
  9. 62'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: M. Diaz replaces T. Martinez
  10. 62'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: D. Suarez replaces C. Alena
  11. 53'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Celta Vigo by F. Jutgla, assisted by J. Rodriguez
    0-1
  12. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Celta Vigo: A. Febas replaces I. Moriba
  13. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Celta Vigo: J. Rueda replaces W. Swedberg
  14. 45'
    Yellow Card
    T. Martinez (Alaves) cautioned
  15. 15'
    Yellow Card
    S. Caceres (Celta Vigo) cautioned

Celta Vigo vs. Alaves: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Celta Vigo vs. Alaves
  • Date: Sunday, October 18, 2026
  • Time: 10:15 AM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Celta Vigo 43¢, Alaves 26¢, draw 31¢
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (38¢/63¢)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Celta Vigo: 44.0%
  • Alaves: 27.9%
  • Draw: 28.1%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Celta Vigo 1-0 Alaves (13.4%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Celta Vigo vs. Alaves? Prediction & correct score

Celta Vigo is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 44.0%.

The most likely correct score is Celta Vigo 1-0 Alaves.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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