Malaga vs. Real Sociedad Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Malaga vs. Real Sociedad La Liga match on October 18, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
LA LIGA
FINAL
ESP sport icon
LA LIGA
Real Sociedad
5
2
Estadio La Rosaleda
Malaga
Estadio La Rosaleda
MalagaMCF
Score Summary
Real SociedadRSO
A. Nino (54')
Soccer ball icon
P. Martinez (66')
Soccer ball icon
T. Kubo (3')
Soccer ball icon
O. Oskarsson (26')
Soccer ball icon
M. Oyarzabal (59')
Soccer ball icon
M. Oyarzabal (67')
Soccer ball icon
G. Guedes (73')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Malaga
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Real Sociedad
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Malaga: C. Puga replaces A. Nino
  2. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Sociedad: A. Marchal replaces O. Oskarsson
  3. 73'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Real Sociedad by G. Guedes
    5-2
  4. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Sociedad: S. Gomez replaces A. Munoz
  5. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Sociedad: J. Ochieng replaces T. Kubo
  6. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Malaga: J. Munoz replaces D. Larrubia
  7. 67'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Real Sociedad by M. Oyarzabal, assisted by J. Martin
    4-2
  8. 66'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Malaga by P. Martinez
    3-2
  9. 64'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Malaga: D. Lorenzo replaces C. Dotor
  10. 62'
    Yellow Card
    M. Sarr (Real Sociedad) cautioned
  11. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Sociedad: G. Guedes replaces A. Barrenetxea
  12. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Sociedad: I. Zubeldia replaces H. Fort
  13. 59'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Real Sociedad by M. Oyarzabal, assisted by T. Kubo
    3-1
  14. 54'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Malaga by A. Nino, assisted by P. Martinez
    2-1
  15. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Malaga: R. Enriquez replaces I. Merino
  16. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Malaga: A. Aznou replaces J. Salinas
  17. 37'
    Yellow Card
    J. Martin (Real Sociedad) cautioned
  18. 26'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Real Sociedad by O. Oskarsson
    2-0
  19. 3'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Real Sociedad by T. Kubo, assisted by H. Fort
    1-0

Malaga vs. Real Sociedad: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Malaga vs. Real Sociedad
  • Date: Sunday, October 18, 2026
  • Time: 12:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio La Rosaleda

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Malaga 28¢, Real Sociedad 46¢, draw 27¢
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (59¢/42¢)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Malaga: 28.9%
  • Real Sociedad: 47.0%
  • Draw: 24.1%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Malaga 1-1 Real Sociedad (11.3%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Malaga vs. Real Sociedad? Prediction & correct score

Real Sociedad is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 47.0%.

The most likely correct score is Malaga 1-1 Real Sociedad.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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Responsible gambling

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