Real Madrid vs. Sevilla Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Real Madrid vs. Sevilla La Liga match on October 18, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
LA LIGA
FINAL
ESP sport icon
LA LIGA
Sevilla
1
4
Real Madrid
Real MadridRMA
Score Summary
SevillaSEV
A. Guler (30')
Soccer ball icon
K. Mbappe (37')
Soccer ball icon
K. Mbappe (pen.) (63')
Soccer ball icon
Y. Diomande (82')
Soccer ball icon
M. Bueno (80')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Real Madrid
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Sevilla
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Madrid: C. Espi replaces K. Mbappe
  2. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Madrid: Eder Militao replaces F. Valverde
  3. 82'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Real Madrid by Y. Diomande, assisted by A. Tchouameni
    1-4
  4. 80'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Sevilla by M. Bueno, assisted by L. Stassin
    1-3
  5. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Madrid: E. Camavinga replaces A. Guler
  6. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sevilla: A. Gonzalez replaces F. Correia
  7. 73'
    Yellow Card
    M. Cucurella (Real Madrid) cautioned
  8. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sevilla: J. A. Carmona replaces J. Iglesias
  9. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Madrid: B. Diaz replaces Endrick
  10. 69'
    Yellow Card
    J. Iglesias (Sevilla) cautioned
  11. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Madrid: B. Silva replaces J. Bellingham
  12. 63'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Real Madrid by K. Mbappe (pen.)
    0-3
  13. 56'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sevilla: L. Stassin replaces R. Ure
  14. 56'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sevilla: M. Bueno replaces Peque
  15. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sevilla: C. Ejuke replaces R. Vargas
  16. 37'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Real Madrid by K. Mbappe, assisted by J. Bellingham
    0-2
  17. 30'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Real Madrid by A. Guler, assisted by Y. Diomande
    0-1
  18. 23'
    Yellow Card
    D. Huijsen (Real Madrid) cautioned
  19. 23'
    Yellow Card
    F. Correia (Sevilla) cautioned

Real Madrid vs. Sevilla: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Real Madrid vs. Sevilla
  • Date: Sunday, October 18, 2026
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Real Madrid -400, Sevilla +1100, draw 13¢
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-250/28¢)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Real Madrid: 69.9%
  • Sevilla: 12.8%
  • Draw: 17.3%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Real Madrid 2-0 Sevilla (10.2%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Real Madrid vs. Sevilla? Prediction & correct score

Real Madrid is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 69.9%.

The most likely correct score is Real Madrid 2-0 Sevilla.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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Responsible gambling

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