Deportivo La Coruna vs. Sevilla prediction, odds, La Liga picks [9/16/2026]

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Written by Ryan Leaver

Get Deportivo La Coruna vs Sevilla predictions for La Liga Wednesday.

Deportivo La Coruna takes on Sevilla in La Liga action.
Deportivo La Coruna vs. Sevilla La Liga prediction for Wednesday, September 16, 2026.

La Liga action continues on Wednesday at 1:00 PM ET as Sevilla locks horns with Deportivo La Coruna at Estadio Municipal de Riazor.

Dimers' advanced La Liga model projects Deportivo La Coruna as the most likely winner in this Deportivo La Coruna vs. Sevilla prediction.

This article offers further insights into Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.

For more, take a look at our insight into the La Liga title race, and how Mourinho can lead Real Madrid back to the top.

Deportivo La Coruna vs. Sevilla prediction and odds

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Wednesday's La Liga match between Deportivo La Coruna and Sevilla, forming part of our La Liga predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model suggests a 38.6% chance of Deportivo La Coruna winning, a 34.3% chance for Sevilla, and a 27.0% chance of a draw. Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 54.6% chance of staying under., with a 50.7% chance that both teams score.

 

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

  • Moneyline: Sevilla +212, Deportivo La Coruna +163
  • Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (+138/-144)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

  • Moneyline: Sevilla @ +212 via Polymarket
  • Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ +138 via Polymarket

According to our La Liga best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 2.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score and BTTS projections

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

  • Deportivo La Coruna 1-1 Sevilla (12.8% probability)
  • Deportivo La Coruna 1-0 Sevilla (10.7%)
  • Deportivo La Coruna 0-1 Sevilla (9.9%)

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 50.7% chance of both sides finding the net and a 49.3% chance that at least one doesn’t.

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.

Game info & kickoff details

Wednesday's La Liga matchup between Deportivo La Coruna and Sevilla at Estadio Municipal de Riazor is scheduled to commence in the United States at 1:00 PM ET.

  • Who: Deportivo La Coruna vs. Sevilla
  • Date: Wednesday, September 16, 2026
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00AM PT
  • Venue: Estadio Municipal de Riazor

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Deportivo La Coruna has a 38.6% win probability on Wednesday, Sevilla has a 34.3% win probability, and there is a 27.0% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary La Liga prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.

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Written by
Ryan Leaver
Senior Sports and Betting Editor

Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.

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