Malaga vs. Racing Santander prediction, odds, La Liga picks [11/7/2026]

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Saturday's La Liga match between Malaga and Racing Santander, forming part of our La Liga predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model indicates a 41.1% chance of Malaga winning, a 35.0% chance for Racing Santander, and a 23.9% chance of a draw. Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 59.6% chance of going over., with a 61.8% probability that both teams score.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Racing Santander +194, Malaga +150
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-138/+133)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Malaga @ +150 via Polymarket
• Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ -138 via Polymarket

According to our La Liga best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 2.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score and BTTS projections

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

• Malaga 1-1 Racing Santander (10.8% probability)
• Malaga 2-1 Racing Santander (8.8%)
• Malaga 1-2 Racing Santander (8%)

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 61.8% chance of both sides finding the net and a 38.2% chance that at least one doesn’t.

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's La Liga game between Malaga and Racing Santander at Estadio La Rosaleda is scheduled to begin in the United States at 8:00 AM ET.

• Who: Malaga vs. Racing Santander
• Date: Saturday, November 7, 2026
• Time: 8:00 AM ET/5:00 AM PT
• Venue: Estadio La Rosaleda

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Malaga has a 41.1% win probability on Saturday, Racing Santander has a 35.0% win probability, and there is a 23.9% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary La Liga prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.