Racing Santander vs. Real Madrid prediction, odds, La Liga picks [11/1/2026]

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Sunday's La Liga match between Racing Santander and Real Madrid, forming part of our La Liga predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model suggests an 11.4% chance of Racing Santander winning, a 74.2% chance for Real Madrid, and a 14.4% chance of a draw. Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 76.0% chance of going over., with a 62.8% probability that both teams score.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Real Madrid -425, Racing Santander +1011
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-456/+426)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Real Madrid @ +733 via Polymarket
• Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +426 via Polymarket

According to our La Liga best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 2.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score and BTTS projections

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 2-1 Real Madrid win being the most probable:

• Racing Santander 1-2 Real Madrid (8.5% probability)
• Racing Santander 1-3 Real Madrid (8.2%)
• Racing Santander 0-2 Real Madrid (7.8%)

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 62.8% chance of both sides finding the net and a 37.2% chance that at least one doesn’t.

Game info & kickoff details

Sunday's La Liga matchup between Racing Santander and Real Madrid at Estadio El Sardinero is scheduled to begin in the USA at 10:15 AM ET.

• Who: Racing Santander vs. Real Madrid
• Date: Sunday, November 1, 2026
• Time: 10:15 AM ET/7:15 AM PT
• Venue: Estadio El Sardinero

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Racing Santander has an 11.4% win probability on Sunday, Real Madrid has a 74.2% win probability, and there is a 14.4% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary La Liga prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.