Sevilla vs. Alaves prediction, odds, La Liga picks [11/6/2026]

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Friday's La Liga match between Sevilla and Alaves, forming part of our La Liga predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently suggests a 48.8% chance of Sevilla winning, a 25.1% chance for Alaves, and a 26.1% chance of a draw. Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 54.9% chance of staying under., with a 51.4% chance of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Alaves +335, Sevilla +100
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (+130/-133)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Alaves @ +335 via Polymarket
• Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ +130 via DraftKings

According to our La Liga best bets, the top play to make on this game is Alaves to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score and BTTS projections

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-0 Sevilla win being the most probable:

• Sevilla 1-0 Alaves (12.5% probability)
• Sevilla 1-1 Alaves (12.4%)
• Sevilla 2-0 Alaves (9.3%)

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 48.6% chance of both sides finding the net and a 51.4% chance that at least one doesn’t.

Game info & kickoff details

Friday's La Liga action between Sevilla and Alaves is scheduled to begin in the United States at 3:00 PM ET.

• Who: Sevilla vs. Alaves
• Date: Friday, November 6, 2026
• Time: 3:00 PM ET/12:00 PM PT

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Sevilla has a 48.8% win probability on Friday, Alaves has a 25.1% win probability, and there is a 26.1% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary La Liga prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.