Racing Santander vs. Alaves prediction, odds, La Liga picks [9/12/2026]

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Saturday's La Liga match between Racing Santander and Alaves, forming part of our La Liga predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently indicates a 39.4% chance of Racing Santander winning, a 36.1% chance for Alaves, and a 24.5% chance of a draw. Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 56.8% chance of going over., with a 59.6% probability that both teams score.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Alaves +190, Racing Santander +150
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-127/+122)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Alaves @ +190 via BetRivers
• Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ -127 via Polymarket

According to our La Liga best bets, the top play to make on this game is Alaves to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score and BTTS projections

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

• Racing Santander 1-1 Alaves (11.3% probability)
• Racing Santander 2-1 Alaves (8.6%)
• Racing Santander 1-2 Alaves (8.2%)

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 59.6% chance of both Racing Santander and Alaves finding the net and a 40.4% chance that at least one doesn’t.

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's La Liga matchup between Racing Santander and Alaves at Estadio El Sardinero is scheduled to commence in the USA at 8:00 AM ET.

• Who: Racing Santander vs. Alaves
• Date: Saturday, September 12, 2026
• Time: 8:00 AM ET/5:00AM PT
• Venue: Estadio El Sardinero

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Racing Santander has a 39.4% win probability on Saturday, Alaves has a 36.1% win probability, and there is a 24.5% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary La Liga prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.