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Read Article Sevilla vs. Valencia prediction, odds, La Liga picks [9/11/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Sevilla vs Valencia predictions for La Liga Friday.
Sevilla will face Valencia in La Liga action on Friday, beginning at 3:00 PM ET.
Dimers' advanced La Liga model projects Sevilla as the most likely winner in this Sevilla vs. Valencia prediction.
This article offers further insights into Friday's match, including best bets and picks.
For more, take a look at our insight into the La Liga title race, and how Mourinho can lead Real Madrid back to the top.
Sevilla vs. Valencia prediction and odds
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Friday's La Liga match between Sevilla and Valencia, forming part of our La Liga predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently indicates a 47.8% chance of Sevilla winning, a 25.3% chance for Valencia, and a 26.9% chance of a draw. Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 57.7% chance of staying under., with a 53.4% probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
Latest betting odds
We have researched the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Moneyline: Valencia +456, Sevilla -117
- Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (+125/-133)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Moneyline: Valencia @ +456 via Polymarket
- Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ -133 via Novig
According to our La Liga best bets, the top play to make on this game is Valencia to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Correct score and BTTS projections
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-0 Sevilla win being the most probable:
- Sevilla 1-0 Valencia (13.2% probability)
- Sevilla 1-1 Valencia (12.6%)
- Sevilla 2-0 Valencia (9.4%)
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 46.6% chance of both sides finding the net and a 53.4% chance that at least one doesn’t.
Game info & kickoff details
Friday's La Liga game between Sevilla and Valencia is scheduled to start in the USA at 3:00 PM ET.
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Sevilla has a 47.8% win probability on Friday, Valencia has a 25.3% win probability, and there is a 26.9% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary La Liga prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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