Villareal vs. Deportivo La Coruna prediction, odds, La Liga picks [9/5/2026]

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's La Liga match between Villareal and Deportivo La Coruna, forming part of our La Liga predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model indicates a 60.8% chance of Villareal winning, an 18.0% chance for Deportivo La Coruna, and a 21.2% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 57.2% chance of going over, with a 54.1% probability that both teams score.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Deportivo La Coruna +614, Villareal -203
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-150/+144)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Deportivo La Coruna @ +614 via Polymarket
• Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +144 via Polymarket

According to our La Liga best bets, the top play to make on this game is Deportivo La Coruna to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score and BTTS projections

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 2-0 Villareal win being the most probable:

• Villareal 2-0 Deportivo La Coruna (10.1% probability)
• Villareal 1-0 Deportivo La Coruna (10.1%)
• Villareal 2-1 Deportivo La Coruna (10%)

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 54.1% chance of both Villareal and Deportivo La Coruna finding the net and a 45.9% chance that at least one doesn’t.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's La Liga game between Villareal and Deportivo La Coruna at Estadio de la Ceramica is scheduled to begin in the United States at 3:00 PM ET.

• Who: Villareal vs. Deportivo La Coruna
• Date: Saturday, September 5, 2026
• Time: 3:00 PM ET/12:00PM PT
• Venue: Estadio de la Ceramica

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Villareal has a 60.8% win probability on Saturday, Deportivo La Coruna has an 18.0% win probability, and there is a 21.2% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.