Racing Santander vs. Villareal Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Racing Santander vs. Villareal La Liga match on August 16, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Villareal
2
:
2
Estadio El Sardinero
Racing Santander
Estadio El Sardinero
Racing SantanderRACS
Score Summary
VillarealVIL
A. Martin (pen.) (21')
Soccer ball icon
S. Martinez (34')
Soccer ball icon
P. Gueye (45')
Soccer ball icon
N. Pepe (45')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Racing Santander
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Villareal
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    C. Romero (Villarreal) cautioned
  2. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Villarreal: A. Freeman replaces S. Mourino
  3. 87'
    Yellow Card
    S. Mourino (Villarreal) cautioned
  4. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Villarreal: I. Akhomach replaces N. Pepe
  5. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Racing Santander: F. Gonzalez replaces P. Ramon
  6. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Racing Santander: D. Diaz replaces S. Canales
  7. 75'
    Yellow Card
    P. Ramon (Racing Santander) cautioned
  8. 73'
    Yellow Card
    P. Gueye (Villarreal) cautioned
  9. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Racing Santander: Y. Zabiri replaces A. Villalibre
  10. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Racing Santander: M. Gueye replaces S. Martinez
  11. 62'
    Yellow Card
    J. Lopez (Racing Santander) cautioned
  12. 56'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Villarreal: G. Moreno replaces S. Comesana
  13. 56'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Villarreal: T. Buchanan replaces A. Moleiro
  14. 56'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Villarreal: C. Macia replaces A. Perez
  15. 48'
    Yellow Card
    J. Foyth (Villarreal) cautioned
  16. 45'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Villarreal by P. Gueye, assisted by A. Moleiro
    1-2
  17. 45'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Villarreal by N. Pepe, assisted by G. Mikautadze
    2-2
  18. 45'
    Yellow Card
    G. Puerta (Racing Santander) cautioned
  19. 34'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Racing Santander by S. Martinez
    0-2
  20. 21'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Racing Santander by A. Martin (pen.)
    0-1
  21. 16'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Racing Santander: Manu replaces Pedro Felipe

Racing Santander vs. Villareal: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Racing Santander vs. Villareal
  • Date: Sunday, August 16, 2026
  • Time: 11:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Estadio El Sardinero

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Racing Santander +290, Villareal +125, draw +290
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-125/+150)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Racing Santander: 28.8%
  • Villareal: 48.6%
  • Draw: 22.7%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Racing Santander 1-1 Villareal (10.1%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Racing Santander vs. Villareal? Prediction & correct score

Villareal is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 48.6%.

The most likely correct score is Racing Santander 1-1 Villareal.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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Responsible gambling

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