Sevilla vs. Rayo Vallecano Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Sevilla vs. Rayo Vallecano La Liga match on August 15, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Rayo Vallecano
1
2
Sevilla
SevillaSEV
Score Summary
Rayo VallecanoRVC
J. Guridi (pen.) (52')
Soccer ball icon
K. Salas (88')
Red Card icon
Peque (pen.) (90')
Soccer ball icon
A. Garcia (4')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Sevilla
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Rayo Vallecano
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Sevilla by Peque (pen.)
    1-2
  2. 90'
    Yellow Card
    L. Agoume (Sevilla) cautioned
  3. 90'
    Yellow Card
    Alemao (Rayo Vallecano) cautioned
  4. 88'
    Red Card
    K. Salas (Sevilla) sent off with a straight red card
  5. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sevilla: M. Bueno replaces J. Guridi
  6. 81'
    Yellow Card
    G. Suazo (Sevilla) cautioned
  7. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sevilla: C. Ejuke replaces Oso
  8. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: P. Diaz replaces U. Lopez
  9. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: P. Fernandez replaces O. Valentin
  10. 76'
    Yellow Card
    F. Perez (Rayo Vallecano) cautioned
  11. 75'
    Yellow Card
    U. Lopez (Rayo Vallecano) cautioned
  12. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sevilla: R. Vargas replaces M. Sierra
  13. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: F. Perez replaces A. Garcia
  14. 67'
    Yellow Card
    A. Garcia (Rayo Vallecano) cautioned
  15. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: Alemao replaces R. Nteka
  16. 64'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: S. Camello replaces I. Palazon
  17. 60'
    Yellow Card
    J. Guridi (Sevilla) cautioned
  18. 52'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Sevilla by J. Guridi (pen.)
    1-1
  19. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sevilla: R. Ure replaces I. Romero
  20. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sevilla: Peque replaces N. Guilen
  21. 45'
    Yellow Card
    I. Romero (Sevilla) cautioned
  22. 32'
    VAR: Goal Disallowed - Foul
  23. 4'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Rayo Vallecano by A. Garcia
    1-0

Sevilla vs. Rayo Vallecano: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Sevilla vs. Rayo Vallecano
  • Date: Saturday, August 15, 2026
  • Time: 3:30 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Sevilla +390, Rayo Vallecano +230, draw +250
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+175/-170)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Sevilla: 41.4%
  • Rayo Vallecano: 30.7%
  • Draw: 27.9%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Sevilla 1-1 Rayo Vallecano (13.1%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Sevilla vs. Rayo Vallecano? Prediction & correct score

Sevilla is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 41.4%.

The most likely correct score is Sevilla 1-1 Rayo Vallecano.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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