Rayo Vallecano vs. Athletic Bilbao Prediction, Picks and Odds

Rayo Vallecano vs. Athletic Bilbao: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

• Teams: Rayo Vallecano vs. Athletic Bilbao
• Date: Saturday, October 10, 2026
• Time: 8:00 AM ET
• Venue: Campo de Futbol de Vallecas

Current betting odds

• Moneyline: Rayo Vallecano 32¢, Athletic Bilbao +165, draw +240
• Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (45¢/-115)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

• Rayo Vallecano: 33.9%
• Athletic Bilbao: 39.3%
• Draw: 26.8%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Athletic Bilbao (12.7%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs. Athletic Bilbao? Prediction & correct score

Athletic Bilbao is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 39.3%.

The most likely correct score is Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Athletic Bilbao.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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