Tigres UANL vs. Cruz Azul prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [11/7/2026]

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Saturday's Liga MX game between Tigres UANL and Cruz Azul, forming part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model suggests a 37.8% chance of Tigres UANL winning, a 36.8% chance for Cruz Azul, and a 25.4% chance of a draw. Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 52.5% chance of going over., with a 56.4% likelihood that both teams score.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Cruz Azul +130, Tigres UANL +195
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-156/+122)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Tigres UANL @ +195 via DraftKings
• Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +122 via FanDuel

According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Tigres UANL to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score and BTTS projections

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

• Tigres UANL 1-1 Cruz Azul (12% probability)
• Tigres UANL 1-0 Cruz Azul (8.7%)
• Tigres UANL 0-1 Cruz Azul (8.6%)

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 56.4% chance of both Tigres UANL and Cruz Azul finding the net and a 43.6% chance that at least one doesn’t.

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's Liga MX game between Tigres UANL and Cruz Azul at Estadio Universitario is scheduled to begin at 8:00 PM ET.

• Who: Tigres UANL vs. Cruz Azul
• Date: Saturday, November 7, 2026
• Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00 PM PT
• Venue: Estadio Universitario

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Tigres UANL has a 37.8% win probability on Saturday, Cruz Azul has a 36.8% win probability, and there is a 25.4% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Liga MX prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.