Necaxa vs. Toluca Prediction, Picks and Odds

Necaxa vs. Toluca: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

• Teams: Necaxa vs. Toluca
• Date: Sunday, August 2, 2026
• Time: 9:05 PM ET

Current betting odds

• Moneyline: Necaxa +500, Toluca -182, draw +350
• Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-211/+160)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

• Necaxa: 16.5%
• Toluca: 65.1%
• Draw: 18.4%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Necaxa 1-2 Toluca (9.6%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Necaxa vs. Toluca? Prediction & correct score

Toluca is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 65.1%.

The most likely correct score is Necaxa 1-2 Toluca.

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