Necaxa vs. Monterrey prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [7/26/2026]
Get Necaxa vs Monterrey predictions for Liga MX Sunday.
Necaxa and Monterrey are scheduled to meet in Liga MX at Estadio Victoria on Sunday, with kickoff at 7:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced Liga MX model predicts Monterrey as the most likely winner of the Necaxa vs. Monterrey game.
This article offers a closer look at Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.
Necaxa vs. Monterrey prediction: Who will win?
Our independent predictive model currently indicates a 32.7% chance of Necaxa winning, a 44.4% chance for Monterrey, and a 22.9% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 63.7% chance of going over, with a 64.6% likelihood that both teams score.
Necaxa vs. Monterrey odds
We have researched the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Necaxa | Monterrey | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +230 | +115 | +280 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -170 | +135 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Necaxa vs. Monterrey picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Moneyline: Necaxa @ +230 via Bet365
- Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ -170 via DraftKings
According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Necaxa to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Necaxa vs. Monterrey: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| NXA 1-1 MNT | 10% |
| NXA 1-2 MNT | 8.9% |
| NXA 2-1 MNT | 7.5% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 64.6% chance of both sides finding the net and a 35.4% chance that at least one doesn’t.
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.
Necaxa vs. Monterrey game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's matchup between Necaxa and Monterrey at Estadio Victoria is scheduled to start at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: Necaxa vs. Monterrey
- Date: Sunday, July 26, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Estadio Victoria
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Necaxa has a 32.7% win probability on Sunday, Monterrey has a 44.4% win probability, and there is a 22.9% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
