Atlante vs. Monterrey prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [9/25/2026]

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Written by Ryan Leaver

Get Atlante vs Monterrey predictions for Liga MX Friday.

Atlante takes on Monterrey in Liga MX action.
Atlante vs. Monterrey Liga MX prediction for Friday, September 25, 2026.

Atlante will square off with Monterrey in Liga MX action at Estadio Banorte on Friday, starting at 9:00 PM ET.

Dimers' proven Liga MX model projects Monterrey as the most likely winner in this Atlante vs. Monterrey prediction.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's match, including best bets and picks.

Atlante vs. Monterrey prediction and odds

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Friday's Liga MX matchup between Atlante and Monterrey, forming part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently indicates a 25.4% chance of Atlante winning, a 52.7% chance for Monterrey, and a 21.9% chance of a draw. Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 63.4% chance of going over., with a 62.6% likelihood that both teams score.

 

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

  • Moneyline: Monterrey +115, Atlante +230
  • Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-140/+116)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

  • Moneyline: Monterrey @ +115 via DraftKings
  • Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ -140 via DraftKings

According to our best Liga MX bets, the top play to make on this game is Monterrey to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score and BTTS projections

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

  • Atlante 1-1 Monterrey (9.8% probability)
  • Atlante 1-2 Monterrey (9.6%)
  • Atlante 0-1 Monterrey (7.5%)

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 62.6% chance of both sides finding the net and a 37.4% chance that at least one doesn’t.

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.

Game info & kickoff details

Friday's Liga MX action between Atlante and Monterrey at Estadio Banorte is scheduled to commence at 9:00 PM ET.

  • Who: Atlante vs. Monterrey
  • Date: Friday, September 25, 2026
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
  • Venue: Estadio Banorte

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Atlante has a 25.4% win probability on Friday, Monterrey has a 52.7% win probability, and there is a 21.9% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Liga MX prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.

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Written by
Ryan Leaver
Senior Sports and Betting Editor

Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.

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