Pachuca vs. Queretaro prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [7/26/2026]
Get Pachuca vs Queretaro predictions for Liga MX Sunday.
Pachuca will face Queretaro in Liga MX action at Estadio Miguel Hidalgo on Sunday, beginning at 9:06 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced Liga MX model predicts Pachuca as the most likely winner of the Pachuca vs. Queretaro game.
This article offers a closer look at Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.
Pachuca vs. Queretaro prediction: Who will win?
Our famous predictive model currently indicates a 60.8% chance of Pachuca winning, a 17.7% chance for Queretaro, and a 21.5% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 55.3% chance of going over, with a 52.5% likelihood that both teams find the net.
Pachuca vs. Queretaro odds
We have sourced the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Pachuca | Queretaro | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| -165 | +500 | +330 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -145 | +115 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Pachuca vs. Queretaro picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Moneyline: Queretaro @ +500 via Bet365
- Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +115 via Bet365
According to our best Liga MX bets, the top play to make on this game is Queretaro to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Pachuca vs. Queretaro: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-0 Pachuca win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| PCH 1-0 QUE | 10.8% |
| PCH 2-0 QUE | 10.5% |
| PCH 1-1 QUE | 10.2% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 52.5% chance of both sides finding the net and a 47.5% chance that at least one doesn’t.
Pachuca vs. Queretaro game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's action between Pachuca and Queretaro at Estadio Miguel Hidalgo is scheduled to begin at 9:06 PM ET.
- Who: Pachuca vs. Queretaro
- Date: Sunday, July 26, 2026
- Time: 9:06 PM ET/6:06PM PT
- Venue: Estadio Miguel Hidalgo
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Pachuca has a 60.8% win probability on Sunday, Queretaro has a 17.7% win probability, and there is a 21.5% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
