Braves vs. Cubs prediction: Why Cubs are favored to win Monday's MLB matchup [9/14/2026]

The Chicago Cubs will face the Atlanta Braves in MLB action at Wrigley Field on Monday, starting at 7:40 PM ET.

The Cubs will start David Peterson (7-8, 5.28 ERA), pitting him against Reynaldo López (4-4, 4.13 ERA) for the Braves.

Dimers' proven MLB model projects the Cubs as the most likely winner in this Braves vs. Cubs prediction.

This article offers a closer look at Monday's matchup, including best bets and picks.

Braves vs. Cubs prediction and odds

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Monday's MLB matchup between the Braves and Cubs, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Cubs a 55.1% chance of beating the Braves. According to our model, the Braves (+1.5) have a 61.0% chance of covering the run line, while the 9.5-run over/under has a 50.6% chance of staying under.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Run Line: Braves +1.5 (-160) / Cubs -1.5 (+156)
• Moneyline: Braves +122, Cubs -127
• Total: Over/Under 9.5 (+104/-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Run line: Cubs -1.5 @ 39¢ via Novig
• Moneyline: Braves @ 45¢ via Novig
• Total: Over 9.5 @ 49¢ via Polymarket

According to our best MLB bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 9.5 total runs.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first pitch details

Monday's MLB game between the Cubs and Braves at Wrigley Field is scheduled to begin at 7:40 PM ET.

• Who: Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago Cubs
• Date: Monday, September 14, 2026
• Time: 7:40 PM ET/4:40PM PT
• Venue: Wrigley Field

Conclusion

We predict the Cubs, with a 55.1% win probability, will likely beat the Braves in Monday's MLB matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary MLB prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.