Sep 14, 2026
White Sox vs. Guardians prediction: Why Cleveland is favored to win Monday's MLB matchup [9/14/2026]
Read Article Orioles vs. Mets prediction: Mets favored to win Monday's MLB matchup [9/14/2026]
Updated: | First published:
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Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Dimers' simulation model projects a 58.2% win probability for the Mets at Citi Field.
MLB action continues on Monday at 7:10 PM ET as the Baltimore Orioles square off with the New York Mets at Citi Field.
Jonah Tong (2-1, 4.80 ERA) will be on the bump for the Mets, while the Orioles have opted for Brandon Young (9-4, 3.71 ERA).
Dimers' proven MLB model projects the Mets as the most likely winner in this Orioles vs. Mets prediction.
This article offers further insights into Monday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Orioles vs. Mets prediction and odds
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Monday's MLB matchup between the Orioles and Mets, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Mets a 58.2% chance of beating the Orioles. According to our model, the Orioles (+1.5) have a 60.1% chance of covering the run line, while the 8.5-run over/under has a 50.5% chance of staying under.
Latest betting odds
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Run Line: Orioles +1.5 (-186) / Mets -1.5 (+182)
- Moneyline: Orioles +113, Mets -115
- Total: Over/Under 8.5 (+117/-122)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Run line: Mets -1.5 @ 35¢ via Novig
- Moneyline: Mets @ 53¢ via Novig
- Total: Over 8.5 @ 46¢ via Polymarket
According to our best MLB bets, the top play to make on this game is Mets to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & first pitch details
Monday's MLB game between the Mets and Orioles at Citi Field is scheduled to start at 7:10 PM ET.
- Who: Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets
- Date: Monday, September 14, 2026
- Time: 7:10 PM ET/4:10PM PT
- Venue: Citi Field
Conclusion
We predict the Mets, with a 58.2% win probability, will likely beat the Orioles in Monday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary MLB prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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