Orioles vs. Blue Jays prediction: Why Toronto is favored to win Sunday's MLB matchup [9/13/2026]

The Toronto Blue Jays will take on the Baltimore Orioles in MLB action at Rogers Centre on Sunday, beginning at 1:37 PM ET.

Dylan Cease (10-5, 2.40 ERA) will start on the mound for the Blue Jays, while the Orioles will counter with Trevor Rogers (10-9, 4.15 ERA).

Dimers' proven MLB model projects the Blue Jays as the most likely winner in this Orioles vs. Blue Jays prediction.

This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.

For more, dive into Dylan Cease's pitching projections.

Orioles vs. Blue Jays prediction and odds

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Sunday's MLB game between the Orioles and Blue Jays, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Blue Jays a 59.7% chance of defeating the Orioles. According to our model, the Orioles (+1.5) have a 58.1% chance of covering the run line, while the 7.5-run over/under has a 54.9% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Run Line: Orioles +1.5 (-163) / Blue Jays -1.5 (+156)
• Moneyline: Orioles +138, Blue Jays -141
• Total: Over/Under 7.5 (+117/-113)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Run line: Blue Jays -1.5 @ 39¢ via Novig
• Moneyline: Blue Jays @ 59¢ via Novig
• Total: Over 7.5 @ 46¢ via Novig

According to our best MLB bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 7.5 total runs.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first pitch details

Sunday's MLB game between the Blue Jays and Orioles at Rogers Centre is scheduled to begin at 1:37 PM ET.

• Who: Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays
• Date: Sunday, September 13, 2026
• Time: 1:37 PM ET/10:37AM PT
• Venue: Rogers Centre

Conclusion

We predict the Blue Jays, with a 59.7% win probability, will likely beat the Orioles in Sunday's MLB matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary MLB prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.