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Read Article Red Sox vs. White Sox prediction: Why White Sox are favored to win Thursday's MLB matchup [7/9/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Boston Red Sox vs Chicago White Sox predictions for MLB Thursday.
The Chicago White Sox and Boston redsox will lock horns in MLB action at Rate Field on Thursday, starting at 2:10 PM ET.
Anthony Kay (6-3, 4.29 ERA) will be the starting pitcher for the White Sox, while the Red Sox have opted for Patrick Sandoval (0-0, 0.00 ERA).
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLB model gives the White Sox a slight edge with a 50.6% win probability over the Red Sox.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's Red Sox vs. White Sox matchup, including best bets and picks.
Red Sox vs. White Sox prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's MLB matchup between the Red Sox and White Sox, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the White Sox a 50.6% chance of defeating the Red Sox.
According to our model, the Red Sox (+1.5) have a 65.1% chance of covering the run line, while the 9-run over/under has a 54.2% chance of going over,.
Red Sox vs. White Sox odds [7/9/2026]
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Red Sox | White Sox |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | +1.5 (-200) | -1.5 (+165) |
| Moneyline | +105 | -106 |
| Total | o9 (+100) | u9 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Red Sox vs. White Sox picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Red Sox +1.5 | -200 |
| Moneyline | Red Sox | +105 |
| Total | Over 9 | +100 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 9 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Red Sox vs. White Sox game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's MLB matchup between the White Sox and Red Sox at Rate Field is scheduled to commence at 2:10 PM ET.
- Who: Boston Red Sox vs. Chicago White Sox
- Date: Thursday, July 9, 2026
- Time: 2:10 PM ET/11:10AM PT
- Venue: Rate Field
Conclusion
We predict the White Sox, with a 50.6% win probability, will likely beat the Red Sox in Thursday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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