Jul 22, 2026
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Read Article Red Sox vs. White Sox prediction: Why Boston is favored to win Wednesday's MLB matchup [7/8/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Boston Red Sox vs Chicago White Sox predictions for MLB Wednesday.
The Chicago White Sox will take on the Boston Red Sox, in what is expected to be a close MLB game, at Rate Field on Wednesday, beginning at 7:40 PM ET.
The White Sox will have Davis Martin (9-3, 3.08 ERA) as their starting pitcher, up against Jake Bennett (3-3, 3.10 ERA) for the Red Sox.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven MLB model gives the Red Sox a slight edge with a 50.6% win probability over the White Sox.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Wednesday's Red Sox vs. White Sox matchup, including best bets and picks.
Red Sox vs. White Sox prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's MLB matchup between the Red Sox and White Sox, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Red Sox a 50.6% chance of beating the White Sox.
According to our model, the Red Sox (+1.5) have a 65.3% chance of covering the run line, while the 8.5-run over/under has a 53.2% chance of going over,.
Red Sox vs. White Sox odds [7/8/2026]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Red Sox | White Sox |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | +1.5 (-205) | -1.5 (+170) |
| Moneyline | -103 | +104 |
| Total | o8.5 (+108) | u8.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Red Sox vs. White Sox picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Red Sox +1.5 | polymarket-205 |
| Moneyline | White Sox | novig+104 |
| Total | Over 8.5 | +108 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 8.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Red Sox vs. White Sox game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's MLB action between the White Sox and Red Sox at Rate Field is scheduled to commence at 7:40 PM ET.
- Who: Boston Red Sox vs. Chicago White Sox
- Date: Wednesday, July 8, 2026
- Time: 7:40 PM ET/4:40PM PT
- Venue: Rate Field
Conclusion
We predict the Red Sox, with a 50.6% win probability, will likely beat the White Sox in Wednesday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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