Aug 26, 2026
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Read Article Red Sox vs. Marlins prediction: Why Boston is favored to win Wednesday's MLB matchup [8/26/2026]
Updated: | First published:
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Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Boston Red Sox vs Miami Marlins predictions for MLB Wednesday.
MLB action continues on Wednesday at 6:40 PM ET as the Boston Red Sox lock horns with the Miami Marlins at loanDepot park.
Ryan Gusto (0-3, 4.37 ERA) will start on the mound for the Marlins, while the Red Sox have opted for Sonny Gray (16-3, 2.79 ERA).
Dimers' proven MLB model projects the Red Sox as the most likely winner in this Red Sox vs. Marlins prediction.
This article offers further insights into Wednesday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
For more, dive into Sonny Gray's projected pitching stats.
Red Sox vs. Marlins prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's MLB game between the Red Sox and Marlins, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Red Sox a 57.7% chance of defeating the Marlins.
According to our model, the Marlins (+1.5) have a 55.3% chance of covering the run line, while the 7.5-run over/under has a 57.8% chance of going over.
Red Sox vs. Marlins odds [8/26/2026]
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Run Line: Red Sox -1.5 (+130) / Marlins +1.5 (-130)
- Moneyline: Red Sox -133, Marlins +139
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Red Sox vs. Marlins picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Run line: Red Sox -1.5 @ +130 via DraftKings
- Moneyline: Red Sox @ -133 via Novig
- Total: Over 7.5 @ -108 via Novig
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 7.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Red Sox vs. Marlins game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's MLB action between the Marlins and Red Sox at loanDepot park is scheduled to commence at 6:40 PM ET.
- Who: Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins
- Date: Wednesday, August 26, 2026
- Time: 6:40 PM ET/3:40PM PT
- Venue: loanDepot park
Conclusion
We predict the Red Sox, with a 57.7% win probability, will likely beat the Marlins in Wednesday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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