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Read Article Red Sox vs. Blue Jays prediction: Why Boston is favored to win Thursday's MLB matchup [8/13/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays predictions for MLB Thursday.
The Toronto Blue Jays will square off with the Boston Red Sox, in what is expected to be a close MLB game, at Rogers Centre on Thursday, starting at 3:07 PM ET.
The Blue Jays will start Max Scherzer (1-4, 7.25 ERA), pitting him against Payton Tolle (7-6, 3.20 ERA) for the Red Sox.
Dimers' proven MLB model gives the Red Sox a slight edge with a 53.0% win probability over the Blue Jays.
This article offers a closer look at Thursday's Red Sox vs. Blue Jays matchup, including best bets and picks.
Red Sox vs. Blue Jays prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's MLB matchup between the Red Sox and Blue Jays, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Red Sox a 53.0% chance of defeating the Blue Jays.
According to our model, the Blue Jays (+1.5) have a 59.1% chance of covering the run line, while the 7.5-run over/under has a 58.2% chance of going over,.
Red Sox vs. Blue Jays odds [8/13/2026]
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Run Line: Red Sox -1.5 (+127) / Blue Jays +1.5 (-130)
- Moneyline: Red Sox -127, Blue Jays +128
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Red Sox vs. Blue Jays picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Run line: Blue Jays +1.5 @ -130 via DraftKings
- Moneyline: Blue Jays @ +128 via BetRivers
- Total: Over 7.5 @ +100 via Novig
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 7.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Red Sox vs. Blue Jays game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's MLB game between the Blue Jays and Red Sox at Rogers Centre is scheduled to start at 3:07 PM ET.
- Who: Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays
- Date: Thursday, August 13, 2026
- Time: 3:07 PM ET/12:07PM PT
- Venue: Rogers Centre
Conclusion
We predict the Red Sox, with a 53.0% win probability, will likely beat the Blue Jays in Thursday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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