Aug 24, 2026
MLB picks today: Monday's MLB best bets include Cubs vs. Diamondbacks play [8/24/2026]
Read Article Cubs vs. Diamondbacks prediction: Why Cubs are favored to win Monday's MLB matchup [8/24/2026]
Updated: | First published:
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Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Chicago Cubs vs Arizona Diamondbacks predictions for MLB Monday.
The Arizona Diamondbacks and Chicago Cubs are scheduled to meet in MLB action at Chase Field on Monday, starting at 9:40 PM ET.
Merrill Kelly (8-11, 5.37 ERA) will start on the mound for the Diamondbacks, while the Cubs have opted for Kevin Gausman (6-11, 4.58 ERA).
Dimers' proven MLB model gives the Cubs a slight edge with a 54.3% win probability over the Diamondbacks.
This article offers a complete Cubs vs. Diamondbacks prediction, including best bets and picks.
Cubs vs. Diamondbacks prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Monday's MLB matchup between the Cubs and Diamondbacks, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Cubs a 54.3% chance of beating the Diamondbacks.
According to our model, the Diamondbacks (+1.5) have a 57.2% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 8.5 runs has a 62.1% chance of going over.
Cubs vs. Diamondbacks odds [8/24/2026]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Run Line: Cubs -1.5 (+122) / Diamondbacks +1.5 (-127)
- Moneyline: Cubs -133, Diamondbacks +133
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Cubs vs. Diamondbacks picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Run line: Diamondbacks +1.5 @ -127 via DraftKings
- Moneyline: Diamondbacks @ +133 via Novig
- Total: Over 8.5 @ -122 via Polymarket
According to our best MLB bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 8.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Cubs vs. Diamondbacks game-day updates and essential details
Monday's MLB matchup between the Diamondbacks and Cubs at Chase Field is scheduled to start at 9:40 PM ET.
- Who: Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
- Date: Monday, August 24, 2026
- Time: 9:40 PM ET/6:40PM PT
- Venue: Chase Field
Conclusion
We predict the Cubs, with a 54.3% win probability, will likely beat the Diamondbacks in Monday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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