Cubs vs. Orioles prediction: Baltimore favored to win Wednesday's MLB matchup [7/8/2026]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get Chicago Cubs vs Baltimore Orioles predictions for MLB Wednesday.

Chicago Cubs-Baltimore Orioles Predictions and Game Preview.
Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB prediction for Wednesday, July 8, 2026.

The Baltimore Orioles will take on the Chicago Cubs, in what is expected to be a tight MLB game, at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Wednesday, beginning at 6:35 PM ET.

Dean Kremer (1-1, 3.18 ERA) will start for the Orioles, while the Cubs are going with Colin Rea (6-5, 4.74 ERA).

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLB model gives the Orioles a slight edge with a 52.1% win probability over the Cubs.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Wednesday's Cubs vs. Orioles matchup, including best bets and picks.

Cubs vs. Orioles prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's MLB matchup between the Cubs and Orioles, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Orioles a 52.1% chance of beating the Cubs.

According to our model, the Cubs (+1.5) have a 62.9% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 10 runs has a 52.1% chance of going over,.

 

Cubs vs. Orioles odds [7/8/2026]

We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Cubs Orioles
Run Line +1.5 (-175) -1.5 (+157)
Moneyline +108 -125
Total o10 (-104) u10 (-106)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Cubs vs. Orioles picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Run Line Cubs +1.5 -175
Moneyline Cubs +108
Total Over 10 -104

According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 10 total runs.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

 

Cubs vs. Orioles game-day updates and essential details

Wednesday's MLB matchup between the Orioles and Cubs at Oriole Park at Camden Yards is scheduled to begin at 6:35 PM ET.

Conclusion

We predict the Orioles, with a 52.1% win probability, will likely beat the Cubs in Wednesday's MLB matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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