Sep 5, 2026
Giants vs. Mets prediction: Mets favored to win Saturday's MLB matchup [9/5/2026]
Read Article Cubs vs. Marlins prediction: Why Cubs are favored to win Saturday's MLB matchup [9/5/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Add Dimers on Google 
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Dimers' simulation model projects a 57.2% win probability for the Cubs at loanDepot park.
The Miami Marlins will take on the Chicago Cubs in MLB action at loanDepot park on Saturday, beginning at 4:10 PM ET.
The Marlins will send Ryan Gusto (1-3, 3.86 ERA) to the mound, pitting him against Javier Assad (6-1, 3.46 ERA) for the Cubs.
Dimers' advanced MLB model projects the Cubs as the most likely winner in this Cubs vs. Marlins prediction.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Cubs vs. Marlins prediction and odds
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's MLB matchup between the Cubs and Marlins, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Cubs a 57.2% chance of defeating the Marlins.
According to our model, the Marlins (+1.5) have a 55.5% chance of covering the run line, while the 8.5-run over/under has a 50.3% chance of staying under.
Latest betting odds
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Run Line: Cubs -1.5 (+138) / Marlins +1.5 (-144)
- Moneyline: Cubs -127, Marlins +122
- Total: Over/Under 8.5 (+104/-108)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Run line: Cubs -1.5 @ 42¢ via Novig
- Moneyline: Cubs @ 56¢ via Novig
- Total: Over 8.5 @ 49¢ via Polymarket
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Cubs -1.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & first pitch details
Saturday's MLB matchup between the Marlins and Cubs at loanDepot park is scheduled to begin at 4:10 PM ET.
- Who: Chicago Cubs vs. Miami Marlins
- Date: Saturday, September 5, 2026
- Time: 4:10 PM ET/1:10PM PT
- Venue: loanDepot park
Conclusion
We predict the Cubs, with a 57.2% win probability, will likely beat the Marlins in Saturday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Lock in for all of NFL & College Football. Every plan unlocks every model, tool and insight, only the billing term changes.
MOST FLEXIBLE
Monthly billed monthly
$29.99
Month to month Pay as you go RECOMMENDED
6 Months one payment
$99.99 $149.99
6 months $16.67 per month Save $79.95 · 44% Early bird price BEST VALUE
Annual first year
$149.99 $199.99
12 months $12.50 per month Save $209.89 · 58% Early bird price Every plan includes
Full site access
iOS & Android app
AI bet assistant
Unlimited picks & predictions
Unlimited best bets & props
Unlimited player projections
Private Discord community
Cancel or pause anytime
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
Advertiser disclosure
