Cubs vs. Brewers prediction: Why Milwaukee is favored to win Monday's MLB matchup [9/7/2026]

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Written by Dave Garofolo

Dimers' simulation model projects a 51.7% win probability for the Brewers at American Family Field.

The Chicago Cubs take on the Milwaukee Brewers in MLB action.
Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB prediction for Monday, September 7, 2026.

The Milwaukee Brewers will square off with the Chicago Cubs, in what is expected to be a close MLB game, at American Family Field on Monday, starting at 2:10 PM ET.

Robert Gasser (4-5, 4.57 ERA) will start on the mound for the Brewers, while the Cubs are going with Matthew Boyd (8-3, 4.05 ERA).

Dimers' advanced MLB model gives the Brewers a slight edge with a 51.7% win probability over the Cubs.

This article offers a complete Cubs vs. Brewers prediction, including best bets and picks.

Cubs vs. Brewers prediction and odds

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Monday's MLB matchup between the Cubs and Brewers, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Brewers a 51.7% chance of defeating the Cubs.

According to our model, the Cubs (+1.5) have a 64.3% chance of covering the run line, while the 8.5-run over/under has a 51.7% chance of going over.

 

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

  • Run Line: Cubs +1.5 (-178) / Brewers -1.5 (+178)
  • Moneyline: Cubs +113, Brewers -117
  • Total: Over/Under 8.5 (+100/-102)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

  • Run line: Cubs +1.5 @ 64¢ via Novig
  • Moneyline: Cubs @ 47¢ via Novig
  • Total: Over 8.5 @ +100 via FanDuel

According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 8.5 total runs.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first pitch details

Monday's MLB matchup between the Brewers and Cubs at American Family Field is scheduled to commence at 2:10 PM ET.

Conclusion

We predict the Brewers, with a 51.7% win probability, will likely beat the Cubs in Monday's MLB matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.

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