Cubs vs. Mets prediction: Cubs favored to win Monday's MLB matchup [6/22/2026]
Get Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets predictions for MLB Monday.

MLB action continues on Monday at 7:10 PM ET as the Chicago Cubs take on the New York Mets at Citi Field.
Kodai Senga (0-5, 9.00 ERA) will be the starting pitcher for the Mets, while the Cubs have opted for Shota Imanaga (4-6, 4.26 ERA).
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven MLB model gives the Cubs a slight edge with a 50.8% win probability over the Mets.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Monday's Cubs vs. Mets matchup, including best bets and picks.
Cubs vs. Mets prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our famous predictive model gives the Cubs a 50.8% chance of beating the Mets.
According to our model, the Mets (+1.5) have a 62.2% chance of covering the run line, while the 9-run over/under has a 52.3% chance of staying under,.
Cubs vs. Mets odds [6/22/2026]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Cubs | Mets |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | -1.5 (+130) | +1.5 (-150) |
| Moneyline | -124 | +110 |
| Total | o9 (-101) | u9 (-120) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Cubs vs. Mets picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Mets +1.5 | -150 |
| Moneyline | Mets | +110 |
| Total | Under 9 | -120 |
According to our best MLB bets, the top play to make on this game is Mets +1.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Cubs vs. Mets game-day updates and essential details
Monday's MLB matchup between the Mets and Cubs at Citi Field is scheduled to begin at 7:10 PM ET.
- Who: Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets
- Date: Monday, June 22, 2026
- Time: 7:10 PM ET/4:10PM PT
- Venue: Citi Field
Conclusion
We predict the Cubs, with a 50.8% win probability, will likely beat the Mets in Monday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.



