Cubs vs. Mets prediction: Cubs favored to win Monday's MLB matchup [6/22/2026]

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Written by Dave Garofolo

Get Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets predictions for MLB Monday.

Chicago Cubs-New York Mets Predictions and Game Preview.
Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets MLB prediction for Monday, June 22, 2026.

MLB action continues on Monday at 7:10 PM ET as the Chicago Cubs take on the New York Mets at Citi Field.

Kodai Senga (0-5, 9.00 ERA) will be the starting pitcher for the Mets, while the Cubs have opted for Shota Imanaga (4-6, 4.26 ERA).

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven MLB model gives the Cubs a slight edge with a 50.8% win probability over the Mets.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Monday's Cubs vs. Mets matchup, including best bets and picks.

Cubs vs. Mets prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's MLB game between the Cubs and Mets, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Cubs a 50.8% chance of beating the Mets.

According to our model, the Mets (+1.5) have a 62.2% chance of covering the run line, while the 9-run over/under has a 52.3% chance of staying under,.

 

Cubs vs. Mets odds [6/22/2026]

We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Cubs Mets
Run Line -1.5 (+130) +1.5 (-150)
Moneyline -124 +110
Total o9 (-101) u9 (-120)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Cubs vs. Mets picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Run Line Mets +1.5 -150
Moneyline Mets +110
Total Under 9 -120

According to our best MLB bets, the top play to make on this game is Mets +1.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

 

Cubs vs. Mets game-day updates and essential details

Monday's MLB matchup between the Mets and Cubs at Citi Field is scheduled to begin at 7:10 PM ET.

Conclusion

We predict the Cubs, with a 50.8% win probability, will likely beat the Mets in Monday's MLB matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.

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