Jul 22, 2026
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Read Article Cubs vs. Mets prediction: Mets favored to win Thursday's MLB matchup [6/25/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets predictions for MLB Thursday.
The New York Mets will square off with the Chicago Cubs, in what is expected to be a tight MLB game, at Citi Field on Thursday, commencing at 7:10 PM ET.
The Mets will have Freddy Peralta (5-6, 4.83 ERA) as their starting pitcher, up against Matthew Boyd (2-1, 6.00 ERA) for the Cubs.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLB model gives the Mets a slight edge with a 52.3% win probability over the Cubs.
This article offers further insights into Thursday's Cubs vs. Mets matchup, including best bets and picks.
Cubs vs. Mets prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's MLB matchup between the Cubs and Mets, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Mets a 52.3% chance of beating the Cubs.
According to our model, the over/under total of 8.5 runs has a 52.1% chance of going over,.
Cubs vs. Mets odds [6/25/2026]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Cubs | Mets |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -102 | -106 |
| Total | o8.5 (-115) | u8.5 (-101) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Cubs vs. Mets picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Mets | -106 |
| Total | Over 8.5 | -115 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Mets to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Cubs vs. Mets game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's MLB action between the Mets and Cubs at Citi Field is scheduled to begin at 7:10 PM ET.
- Who: Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets
- Date: Thursday, June 25, 2026
- Time: 7:10 PM ET/4:10PM PT
- Venue: Citi Field
Conclusion
We predict the Mets, with a 52.3% win probability, will likely beat the Cubs in Thursday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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