Reds vs. Cubs prediction: Why Cubs are favored to win Saturday's MLB matchup [8/29/2026]

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Written by Dave Garofolo

Get Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs predictions for MLB Saturday.

Cincinnati Reds-Chicago Cubs Predictions and Game Preview.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs MLB prediction for Saturday, August 29, 2026.

MLB action continues on Saturday at 2:20 PM ET as the Cincinnati Reds lock horns with the Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field.

The Cubs will send Kevin Gausman (7-11, 4.37 ERA) to the mound, while the Reds have opted for Andrew Abbott (6-9, 4.15 ERA).

Dimers' proven MLB model projects the Cubs as the most likely winner in this Reds vs. Cubs prediction.

This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.

Reds vs. Cubs prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's MLB game between the Reds and Cubs, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Cubs a 62.5% chance of beating the Reds.

According to our model, the Reds (+1.5) have a 54.5% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 9.5 runs has a 51.1% chance of staying under.

 

Reds vs. Cubs odds [8/29/2026]

We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

  • Run Line: Reds +1.5 (-102) / Cubs -1.5 (+110)
  • Moneyline: Reds +199, Cubs -185

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Reds vs. Cubs picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

  • Run line: Reds +1.5 @ -102 via DraftKings
  • Moneyline: Reds @ +199 via Novig
  • Total: Over 9.5 @ +108 via Novig

According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Reds to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

 

Reds vs. Cubs game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's MLB game between the Cubs and Reds at Wrigley Field is scheduled to start at 2:20 PM ET.

Conclusion

We predict the Cubs, with a 62.5% win probability, will likely beat the Reds in Saturday's MLB matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.

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