Jul 23, 2026
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Read Article Reds vs. Brewers prediction: Why Milwaukee is favored to win Thursday's MLB matchup [7/2/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers predictions for MLB Thursday.
The Milwaukee Brewers and Cincinnati Reds are scheduled to meet in MLB action at American Family Field on Thursday, starting at 2:10 PM ET.
Jacob Misiorowski (9-3, 1.46 ERA) will be on the bump for the Brewers, up against Chase Burns (9-1, 2.36 ERA) for the Reds.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLB model projects the Brewers as the most likely winner of the Reds vs. Brewers game.
This article offers a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Reds vs. Brewers prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's MLB matchup between the Reds and Brewers, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Brewers a 60.8% chance of beating the Reds.
According to our model, the Reds (+1.5) have a 59.3% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 6.5 runs has a 59.6% chance of going over,.
Reds vs. Brewers odds [7/2/2026]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Reds | Brewers |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | +1.5 (-143) | -1.5 (+122) |
| Moneyline | +165 | -188 |
| Total | o6.5 (-118) | u6.5 (+105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Reds vs. Brewers picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Reds +1.5 | -143 |
| Moneyline | Reds | +165 |
| Total | Over 6.5 | -118 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 6.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Reds vs. Brewers game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's MLB action between the Brewers and Reds at American Family Field is scheduled to start at 2:10 PM ET.
- Who: Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers
- Date: Thursday, July 2, 2026
- Time: 2:10 PM ET/11:10AM PT
- Venue: American Family Field
Conclusion
We predict the Brewers, with a 60.8% win probability, will likely beat the Reds in Thursday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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