Guardians vs. Tigers prediction: Detroit favored to win Thursday's MLB matchup [8/13/2026]
Get Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers predictions for MLB Thursday.
The Detroit Tigers will take on the Cleveland Guardians, in what is expected to be a close MLB game, at Comerica Park on Thursday, beginning at 1:10 PM ET.
The Tigers will have Keider Montero (8-7, 3.38 ERA) as their starting pitcher, while the Guardians will counter with Parker Messick (9-6, 2.57 ERA).
Dimers' advanced MLB model gives the Tigers a slight edge with a 50.8% win probability over the Guardians.
This article offers a closer look at Thursday's Guardians vs. Tigers matchup, including best bets and picks.
For more, dive into Parker Messick's projected pitching stats.
Guardians vs. Tigers prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our famous predictive model gives the Tigers a 50.8% chance of beating the Guardians.
According to our model, the Tigers (+1.5) have a 62.2% chance of covering the run line, while the 7.5-run over/under has a 57.8% chance of going over,.
Guardians vs. Tigers odds [8/13/2026]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Run Line: Guardians -1.5 (+156) / Tigers +1.5 (-160)
- Moneyline: Guardians -103, Tigers +116
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Guardians vs. Tigers picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Run line: Tigers +1.5 @ -160 via DraftKings
- Moneyline: Tigers @ +116 via Bet365
- Total: Over 7.5 @ -117 via Polymarket
According to our best MLB bets, the top play to make on this game is Tigers to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Guardians vs. Tigers game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's MLB game between the Tigers and Guardians at Comerica Park is scheduled to start at 1:10 PM ET.
- Who: Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers
- Date: Thursday, August 13, 2026
- Time: 1:10 PM ET/10:10AM PT
- Venue: Comerica Park
Conclusion
We predict the Tigers, with a 50.8% win probability, will likely beat the Guardians in Thursday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
