Sep 10, 2026
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Read Article Astros vs. White Sox prediction: Why White Sox are favored to win Friday's MLB matchup [7/24/2026]
Updated: | First published:
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Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Houston Astros vs Chicago White Sox predictions for MLB Friday.
The Chicago White Sox and Houston Astros will lock horns in MLB action at Rate Field on Friday, starting at 7:40 PM ET.
The White Sox will send Davis Martin (9-5, 3.31 ERA) to the mound, while the Astros have opted for Spencer Arrighetti (7-5, 4.34 ERA).
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLB model gives the White Sox a slight edge with a 51.6% win probability over the Astros.
This article offers a closer look at Friday's Astros vs. White Sox matchup, including best bets and picks.
Astros vs. White Sox prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Friday's MLB matchup between the Astros and White Sox, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the White Sox a 51.6% chance of beating the Astros.
According to our model, the Astros (+1.5) have a 64.0% chance of covering the run line, while the 8.5-run over/under has a 57.9% chance of going over,.
Astros vs. White Sox odds [7/24/2026]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Astros | White Sox |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | +1.5 (-160) | -1.5 (+156) |
| Moneyline | +117 | -120 |
| Total | o8.5 (-113) | u8.5 (+111) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Astros vs. White Sox picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Astros +1.5 | -160 |
| Moneyline | Astros | +117 |
| Total | Over 8.5 | -113 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 8.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Astros vs. White Sox game-day updates and essential details
Friday's MLB matchup between the White Sox and Astros at Rate Field is scheduled to begin at 7:40 PM ET.
- Who: Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox
- Date: Friday, July 24, 2026
- Time: 7:40 PM ET/4:40PM PT
- Venue: Rate Field
Conclusion
We predict the White Sox, with a 51.6% win probability, will likely beat the Astros in Friday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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