Jul 23, 2026
MLB picks today: Thursday's MLB best bets include Twins vs. Guardians play [7/23/2026]
Read Article Astros vs. Tigers prediction: Tight battle projected in updated analysis for Sunday's MLB matchup [6/28/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Houston Astros vs Detroit Tigers predictions for MLB Sunday.
The Detroit Tigers will square off with the Houston Astros, in what is expected to be a tight MLB game, at Comerica Park on Sunday, commencing at 1:40 PM ET.
The Tigers will have Jack Flaherty (1-8, 5.34 ERA) as their starting pitcher, up against Hunter Brown (1-0, 1.40 ERA) for the Astros.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven MLB model gives an equal chance for both both teams to win the Astros-Tigers matchup.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's Astros vs. Tigers matchup, including best bets and picks.
Astros vs. Tigers prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's MLB matchup between the Astros and Tigers, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently can't split the two teams, giving both the Astros and Tigers a 50% chance of winning the game.
According to our model, the Tigers (+1.5) have a 60.5% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of eight runs has a 55.9% chance of going over,.
Astros vs. Tigers odds [6/28/2026]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Astros | Tigers |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | -1.5 (+155) | +1.5 (-181) |
| Moneyline | -110 | -104 |
| Total | o8 (-114) | u8 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Astros vs. Tigers picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Astros -1.5 | +155 |
| Moneyline | Astros | -110 |
| Total | Over 8 | -114 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 8 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Astros vs. Tigers game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's MLB game between the Tigers and Astros at Comerica Park is scheduled to commence at 1:40 PM ET.
- Who: Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers
- Date: Sunday, June 28, 2026
- Time: 1:40 PM ET/10:40AM PT
- Venue: Comerica Park
Conclusion
We predict a close game between the Astros and Tigers on Sunday, with each team having a 50% chance of winning.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
Advertiser disclosure
