Aug 28, 2026
Diamondbacks vs. Giants prediction: Arizona favored to win Friday's MLB matchup [8/28/2026]
Read Article Astros vs. Mets prediction: Houston favored to win Friday's MLB matchup [8/28/2026]
Updated: | First published:
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Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Houston Astros vs New York Mets predictions for MLB Friday.
The New York Mets will face the Houston Astros, in what is expected to be a tight MLB game, at Citi Field on Friday, starting at 7:10 PM ET.
Christian Scott (4-3, 3.73 ERA) will start for the Mets, while the Astros have opted for Hunter Brown (3-3, 3.51 ERA).
Dimers' proven MLB model gives the Astros a slight edge with a 52.1% win probability over the Mets.
This article offers a complete Astros vs. Mets prediction, including best bets and picks.
Astros vs. Mets prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's MLB matchup between the Astros and Mets, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Astros a 52.1% chance of beating the Mets.
According to our model, the Mets (+1.5) have a 60.4% chance of covering the run line, while the 7.5-run over/under has a 55.8% chance of going over.
Astros vs. Mets odds [8/28/2026]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Run Line: Astros -1.5 (+163) / Mets +1.5 (-165)
- Moneyline: Astros +100, Mets +100
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Astros vs. Mets picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Run line: Astros -1.5 @ +163 via DraftKings
- Moneyline: Astros @ +100 via Novig
- Total: Over 7.5 @ -104 via Polymarket
According to our best MLB bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 7.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Astros vs. Mets game-day updates and essential details
Friday's MLB game between the Mets and Astros at Citi Field is scheduled to start at 7:10 PM ET.
- Who: Houston Astros vs. New York Mets
- Date: Friday, August 28, 2026
- Time: 7:10 PM ET/4:10PM PT
- Venue: Citi Field
Conclusion
We predict the Astros, with a 52.1% win probability, will likely beat the Mets in Friday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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