Angels vs. Red Sox prediction: Boston favored to win Wednesday's MLB matchup [9/9/2026]
Dimers' simulation model projects a 64.4% win probability for the Red Sox at Fenway Park.

MLB action continues on Wednesday at 6:45 PM ET as the Los Angeles Angels take on the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park.
The Red Sox will send Jake Bennett (9-6, 3.34 ERA) to the mound, while the Angels have opted for Ryan Johnson (3-8, 5.17 ERA).
Dimers' proven MLB model projects the Red Sox as the most likely winner in this Angels vs. Red Sox prediction.
This article offers a closer look at Wednesday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Angels vs. Red Sox prediction and odds
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Red Sox a 64.4% chance of beating the Angels.
According to our model, the Angels (+1.5) have a 51.9% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of nine runs has a 57.2% chance of going over.
Latest betting odds
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Run Line: Angels +1.5 (-108) / Red Sox -1.5 (+104)
- Moneyline: Angels +194, Red Sox -199
- Total: Over/Under 9 (-115/+105)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Run line: Angels +1.5 @ 52¢ via Novig
- Moneyline: Angels @ 34¢ via Novig
- Total: Over 9 @ -115 via Fanatics
According to our best MLB bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 9 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & first pitch details
Wednesday's MLB matchup between the Red Sox and Angels at Fenway Park is scheduled to commence at 6:45 PM ET.
- Who: Los Angeles Angels vs. Boston Red Sox
- Date: Wednesday, September 9, 2026
- Time: 6:45 PM ET/3:45PM PT
- Venue: Fenway Park
Conclusion
We predict the Red Sox, with a 64.4% win probability, will likely beat the Angels in Wednesday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.




