Dodgers vs. Marlins prediction: Why Dodgers are favored to win Saturday's MLB matchup [9/12/2026]

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Written by Dave Garofolo

Dimers' simulation model projects a 64.1% win probability for the Dodgers at loanDepot park.

The Los Angeles Dodgers take on the Miami Marlins in MLB action.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Miami Marlins MLB prediction for Saturday, September 12, 2026.

The Miami Marlins will take on the Los Angeles Dodgers in MLB action at loanDepot park on Saturday, commencing at 4:10 PM ET.

Tyler Phillips (5-6, 3.51 ERA) will be on the bump for the Marlins, up against Tyler Glasnow (4-0, 3.12 ERA) for the Dodgers.

Dimers' proven MLB model projects the Dodgers as the most likely winner in this Dodgers vs. Marlins prediction.

This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.

Dodgers vs. Marlins prediction and odds

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Saturday's MLB game between the Dodgers and Marlins, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Dodgers a 64.1% chance of defeating the Marlins. According to our model, the Dodgers (-1.5) have a 51.9% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 7.5 runs has a 59.9% chance of going over.

 

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

  • Run Line: Dodgers -1.5 (+106) / Marlins +1.5 (-108)
  • Moneyline: Dodgers -156, Marlins +156
  • Total: Over/Under 7.5 (-106/+108)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

  • Run line: Dodgers -1.5 @ 49¢ via Novig
  • Moneyline: Dodgers @ 61¢ via Novig
  • Total: Over 7.5 @ 51¢ via Novig

According to our best MLB bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 7.5 total runs.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first pitch details

Saturday's MLB action between the Marlins and Dodgers at loanDepot park is scheduled to begin at 4:10 PM ET.

Conclusion

We predict the Dodgers, with a 64.1% win probability, will likely beat the Marlins in Saturday's MLB matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary MLB prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.

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