Dodgers vs. Mets prediction: Dodgers favored to win Friday's MLB matchup [7/24/2026]

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Written by Dave Garofolo

Get Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets predictions for MLB Friday.

Los Angeles Dodgers-New York Mets Predictions and Game Preview.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets MLB prediction for Friday, July 24, 2026.

The New York Mets will take on the Los Angeles Dodgers, in what is expected to be a close MLB game, at Citi Field on Friday, starting at 7:10 PM ET.

Sean Manaea (2-5, 4.74 ERA) will start for the Mets, pitting him against Roki Sasaki (3-5, 4.98 ERA) for the Dodgers.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven MLB model gives the Dodgers a slight edge with a 54.1% win probability over the Mets.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's Dodgers vs. Mets matchup, including best bets and picks.

Dodgers vs. Mets prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Friday's MLB matchup between the Dodgers and Mets, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Dodgers a 54.1% chance of defeating the Mets.

According to our model, the Mets (+1.5) have a 57.5% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 8.5 runs has a 56.4% chance of going over,.

 

Dodgers vs. Mets odds [7/24/2026]

We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Dodgers Mets
Run Line -1.5 (+117) +1.5 (-122)
Moneyline -138 +133
Total o8.5 (-122) u8.5 (+117)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Dodgers vs. Mets picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Run Line Mets +1.5 -122
Moneyline Mets +133
Total Over 8.5 -122

According to our best MLB bets, the top play to make on this game is Mets to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

 

Dodgers vs. Mets game-day updates and essential details

Friday's MLB action between the Mets and Dodgers at Citi Field is scheduled to start at 7:10 PM ET.

Conclusion

We predict the Dodgers, with a 54.1% win probability, will likely beat the Mets in Friday's MLB matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.

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