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Read Article Dodgers vs. Padres prediction: Dodgers favored to win Sunday's MLB matchup [6/28/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres predictions for MLB Sunday.
The San Diego Padres will face the Los Angeles Dodgers, in what is expected to be a tight MLB game, at Petco Park on Sunday, starting at 4:10 PM ET.
Michael King (5-6, 3.33 ERA) will get the ball for the Padres, up against Emmet Sheehan (3-5, 5.32 ERA) for the Dodgers.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced MLB model gives the Dodgers a slight edge with a 54.6% win probability over the Padres.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's Dodgers vs. Padres matchup, including best bets and picks.
Dodgers vs. Padres prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's MLB matchup between the Dodgers and Padres, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Dodgers a 54.6% chance of beating the Padres.
According to our model, the Padres (+1.5) have a 57.2% chance of covering the run line, while the 8-run over/under has a 53.0% chance of going over,.
Dodgers vs. Padres odds [6/28/2026]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Dodgers | Padres |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | -1.5 (+125) | +1.5 (-144) |
| Moneyline | -138 | +118 |
| Total | o8 (-105) | u8 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Dodgers vs. Padres picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Dodgers -1.5 | +125 |
| Moneyline | Padres | +118 |
| Total | Over 8 | -105 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 8 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Dodgers vs. Padres game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's MLB matchup between the Padres and Dodgers at Petco Park is scheduled to start at 4:10 PM ET.
- Who: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres
- Date: Sunday, June 28, 2026
- Time: 4:10 PM ET/1:10PM PT
- Venue: Petco Park
Conclusion
We predict the Dodgers, with a 54.6% win probability, will likely beat the Padres in Sunday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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