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Read Article Marlins vs. Mets prediction: Mets favored to win Friday's MLB matchup [5/29/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Miami Marlins vs New York Mets predictions for MLB Friday.
The New York Mets will square off with the Miami Marlins in MLB action at Citi Field on Friday, beginning at 7:10 PM ET.
The Mets will send Freddy Peralta (3-4, 3.52 ERA) to the mound, while the Marlins have opted for Max Meyer (5-0, 2.52 ERA).
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven MLB model predicts the Mets as the most likely winner of the Marlins vs. Mets game.
This article offers a closer look at Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Marlins vs. Mets prediction: Who will win?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Friday's MLB game between the Marlins and Mets, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Mets a 55% chance of defeating the Marlins.
According to our model, the over/under total of 7.5 runs has a 55% chance of going over.
Marlins vs. Mets odds [5/29/2026]
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Marlins | Mets |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -104 | -110 |
| Total | o7.5 (-116) | u7.5 (-102) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Marlins vs. Mets picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Mets | -110 |
| Total | Over 7.5 | -116 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Mets to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Marlins vs. Mets game-day updates and essential details
Friday's MLB game between the Mets and Marlins at Citi Field is scheduled to commence at 7:10 PM ET.
- Who: Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets
- Date: Friday, May 29, 2026
- Time: 7:10 PM ET/4:10PM PT
- Venue: Citi Field
Conclusion
We predict the Mets, with a 55% win probability, will likely beat the Marlins in Friday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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