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Read Article Marlins vs. Mets prediction: Mets favored to win Sunday's MLB matchup [5/31/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Miami Marlins vs New York Mets predictions for MLB Sunday.
The New York Mets will take on the Miami Marlins in MLB action at Citi Field on Sunday, starting at 1:40 PM ET.
Nolan McLean (2-4, 4.40 ERA) will be the starting pitcher for the Mets, up against John King (1-0, 1.93 ERA) for the Marlins.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven MLB model predicts the Mets as the most likely winner of the Marlins vs. Mets game.
This article offers further insights into Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Marlins vs. Mets prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's MLB game between the Marlins and Mets, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Mets a 60% chance of defeating the Marlins.
According to our model, the Marlins (+1.5) have a 58% chance of covering the run line, while the 7.5-run over/under has a 53% chance of going over.
Marlins vs. Mets odds [5/31/2026]
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Marlins | Mets |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | +1.5 (-156) | -1.5 (+135) |
| Moneyline | +136 | -155 |
| Total | o7.5 (-109) | u7.5 (-102) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Marlins vs. Mets picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Mets -1.5 | +135 |
| Moneyline | Mets | -155 |
| Total | Over 7.5 | -109 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 7.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Marlins vs. Mets game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's MLB action between the Mets and Marlins at Citi Field is scheduled to begin at 1:40 PM ET.
- Who: Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets
- Date: Sunday, May 31, 2026
- Time: 1:40 PM ET/10:40AM PT
- Venue: Citi Field
Conclusion
We predict the Mets, with a 60% win probability, will likely beat the Marlins in Sunday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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